Author Topic: Coronavirus COVID-19 (a.k.a. 2019-nCoV) outbreak in China  (Read 45209 times)

Offline surfivor

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Re: Coronavirus COVID-19 (a.k.a. 2019-nCoV) outbreak in China
« Reply #750 on: March 30, 2020, 10:40:12 AM »
not if it buys time for prevention or a cure to be found

 There is no cure for the flu or common cold or anything similar that I am convinced is something impressive. Mostly they seem to have various treatments with various side effects and claims of efficacy that seem easy to question. If the virus disappears on it's own they will try to take credit for it if at all possible.

 There is no way to tell if  you have the flu, a cold, or coronavirus without having to trust and rely on the medical system as well. Many people including Jack seem to think the virus has been in the US for a long time going back to November and some claim CIA people told them the same thing. People think they already have had it. Many have been saying they had been sick for several weeks with some peculiar bug over the winter

Offline Greekman

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Re: Coronavirus COVID-19 (a.k.a. 2019-nCoV) outbreak in China
« Reply #751 on: March 30, 2020, 10:52:52 AM »
I have a buddy who is clearly symptomatic with it, decreased lung function, the whole nine.  Since he is young they wouldn't give him a test due to shortage.  He is sick as a dog, isnt awake more than an hour or two between periods of sleeping.  Fever.  Has been sick for a week at this point.

Remember this though, my friend and his spouse (milder) and his oldest child (teenager, milder yet symptoms) all show signs of COVID and none of them are tested.  The numbers are much higher than we know, and while they aint dying, my buddy is sicker than he has ever been in his life.   

They are at home and receiving telemedicine advice.  The kids and the spuse (when feeling up to it) are doing food service, laundry and taking care of my buddy.  They have a finger oximeter or whatever it is to keep an eye on his pulseox and have the thresholds for when to bring him in.

If your kids dont know how to do the household chores like laundry, cleaning, and cooking now is a good time.

This is exactly how people are treated/"treated" in Europe too. Too many cases, will have to through all other cases out of the hospitals.

It is tottaly expected to institute field hospitals in basketball fields

Offline Greekman

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Re: Coronavirus COVID-19 (a.k.a. 2019-nCoV) outbreak in China
« Reply #752 on: March 30, 2020, 10:58:28 AM »
worldwide fatality rate is 4.73% this morning

739,385 cases
35,020 deaths
only 156,588 recovered

that is definitely because of Italy and Spain

Offline Prepper456

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Re: Coronavirus COVID-19 (a.k.a. 2019-nCoV) outbreak in China
« Reply #753 on: March 30, 2020, 11:26:45 AM »
that is definitely because of Italy and Spain

yes

and the 6.2% fatality rate in the UK
« Last Edit: March 30, 2020, 11:32:39 AM by Prepper456 »

Offline Mr. Bill

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Re: Coronavirus COVID-19 (a.k.a. 2019-nCoV) outbreak in China
« Reply #754 on: March 30, 2020, 01:12:40 PM »
If the virus is highly contagious and it’s going to stick around for years and years, then everyone is eventually going to be exposed to it. In that case all the staying indoors is just going to be a pointless thing that will make everything worse economically with little long term benefit

The big reason for slowing down the spread is so that we don't all catch it at the same time.  Because if we do, the hospitals and medical system will be overwhelmed, and a lot of people who might have lived will die instead.

Online iam4liberty

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Re: Coronavirus COVID-19 (a.k.a. 2019-nCoV) outbreak in China
« Reply #755 on: March 30, 2020, 01:47:39 PM »
The big reason for slowing down the spread is so that we don't all catch it at the same time.  Because if we do, the hospitals and medical system will be overwhelmed, and a lot of people who might have lived will die instead.

And we also dont know how this virus will be impacted by temperature and humidity.  If it acts as many other coronaviruses, stretching it out going into spring and summer could significantly lower the overall infection rate. 

On seperate topic, I just saw Dr. Fauci on and show and he is decidely much more optimistic than the media outlets which are distorting what he is saying (they dont even quote him directly anymore).  The commentator pressed him on the much tauted 100K death number (which was a middle projection of a worse case model he was quoting not his own prediction, in fact he specifically asked CNN not to hold him to thst number).  He is personally targetting a number much lower than that.   But it is interesting that in just two weeks the media pushed estimates of 150 million infected and 2 to 3 million dead have now fallen to 10 to 20 million infected and 100K to 200k dead.  That is an order of magnitude drop.  So in another month they will probably be closer to reality. 

Offline Mr. Bill

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Re: Coronavirus COVID-19 (a.k.a. 2019-nCoV) outbreak in China
« Reply #756 on: March 30, 2020, 02:15:26 PM »
Decontamination of personal protective equipment with hydrogen peroxide vapor, all in a convenient shipping container.

NPR, 3/30/20: Technology To Clean And Reuse PPE Is Being Deployed To Hotspot Hospitals

Offline Greekman

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Offline Prepper456

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Re: Coronavirus COVID-19 (a.k.a. 2019-nCoV) outbreak in China
« Reply #758 on: March 30, 2020, 02:45:32 PM »
I just saw Dr. Fauci on and show and he is decidely much more optimistic than the media outlets which are distorting what he is saying .  The commentator pressed him on the much tauted 100K death number ....  He is personally targetting a number much lower than that.   But it is interesting that in just two weeks the media pushed estimates of 150 million infected and 2 to 3 million dead have now fallen to 10 to 20 million infected and 100K to 200k dead.


Fauci:
Quote
Fauci said the 100,000-to-200,000 death figure is a middle-of-the-road estimate, much lower than worse-case-scenario predictions. He said preparing for 1 million to 2 million Americans to die from the coronavirus is "almost certainly off the chart," adding: "Now it's not impossible, but very, very unlikely."

However, Fauci cautioned people not to put too much emphasis on predictions, noting that "it's such a moving target that you could so easily be wrong and mislead people."

What we do know, he says, is that "we've got a serious problem in New York, we've got a serious problem in New Orleans and we're going to have serious problems in other areas."

Fauci's coronavirus fatality estimate comes as the White House considers ways to reopen the economy, including easing social distancing guidelines that officials have set forth to curb the spread of the fast-moving virus.

One in three Americans is now being asked to stay indoors as new cases soar, especially in New York, which accounts for nearly half of the country's cases.

When asked if it is the right time to begin relaxing some of the social distancing measures, Fauci said not until the curve of new infections starts flattening out. He refused to guess when exactly that may occur.

"The virus itself determines that timetable," Fauci said.

According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, the seasonal flu has killed between 12,000 and 61,000 people a year since 2010. The coronavirus death rate is far greater than the flu's. For the elderly population, the coronavirus has been found to be six times as deadly."

Offline Mr. Bill

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Re: Coronavirus COVID-19 (a.k.a. 2019-nCoV) outbreak in China
« Reply #759 on: March 30, 2020, 03:40:52 PM »
How long will the pandemic last?  Here's an interview with Virginia Pitzer, Associate Professor of Epidemiology at Yale:

3/27/20: COVID-19 Is Here. Now How Long Will It Last?

Quote
...I think it is likely to be months rather than weeks. With only modest control measures (such as isolation of cases and quarantine of their household contacts or partial adherence to social distancing guidelines), models predict the peak would occur around July and the outbreak would last until early fall, until finally enough of the population had built up immunity to the virus. However, this strategy is still likely to result in a large number of deaths. If we impose strict social distancing measures (as we are now), it is likely that cases will peak sooner. However, we are unlikely to see an impact of the control measures for at least a couple weeks, since cases today reflect transmission that occurred 1-2 weeks ago. Also, we are likely to see a rebound in cases once social distancing measures are lifted. Therefore, we may get into a cycle of periodic social distancing measures until it is possible to develop and mass-produce a vaccine, which experts say will take 12-18 months, or we can find effective ways to treat COVID-19. ...

It is unclear whether the experience with influenza [in 1918 and 2009] is really indicative of what might happen with SARS-CoV-2. For example, we know that school-aged children play an important role in transmitting flu, but it is unclear whether the same is true for SARS-CoV-2, since children do not seem to experience much illness. If that is the case, we may continue to see cases of COVID-19 occurring throughout the summer. Nevertheless, it is unlikely that we will be able to eliminate SARS-CoV-2 completely, and other human coronaviruses are known to peak in the fall, so we may very well see a resurgence of disease next fall. More importantly, if control measures are lifted too soon, we are likely to see another peak in the disease until enough immunity has built up in the population, or until we are able to develop an effective vaccine against SARS-CoV-2. ...

...there is no reason to believe that a second wave of COVID-19 will be any worse than the first. Rather, those who were infected during the first wave are likely to have at least some immunity if and when a second wave does occur. ...

With SARS-CoV-2, it is estimated that 50-60% of people who are infected don’t exhibit symptoms, but can still spread it to others, and even those who do develop symptoms are infectious before symptoms appear. Therefore, it is likely that this outbreak will only end when enough people have become immune to the virus, either through having been infected with it or through the development of a vaccine that provides effective immunity. Even then, it may be with us for a long time and to continue to cause seasonal epidemics, like flu and other human coronaviruses do. ...

Offline Prepper456

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Re: Coronavirus COVID-19 (a.k.a. 2019-nCoV) outbreak in China
« Reply #760 on: March 30, 2020, 03:42:43 PM »
Quote
"If we do things together well, almost perfectly, we could get in the range of 100,000 to 200,000 fatalities.”
-- Birx

Online iam4liberty

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Re: Coronavirus COVID-19 (a.k.a. 2019-nCoV) outbreak in China
« Reply #761 on: March 30, 2020, 03:49:55 PM »
In the show on Sunday, the commentator started with a surprise trap lead in that Fauci was obviously very uncomfortable with: :"We begin with a startling new prediction from the nation's top Infectious Disease expert, Dr. Anthony Fauci warning that cases of the coronavirus could reach into the millions with hundreds of thousands of deaths possible."

After explaining the model Fauci concluded with "I don't want to be held to that...I mean, we're going to have millions of cases, but I just don't think that we really need to make a projection when it's such a moving target, that you can so easily be wrong and mislead people.  What we do know, Jake, is that we got a serious problem in New York. We have a serious problem in New Orleans, and we're going to be developing serious problems in other areas."

They tried it again today but failed to get him to take the bait. 

Now what President Trump has done is used these projections to show what a great job they have done.  Because they can say millions have been saved by their decisions and media cant challenge that as they created the narrative:

https://youtube.com/watch?v=B0bbDK6WZ_w

This is what happens when people play games by throwing around apocalyptic numbers.  Everything devolves to politics instead of needed actions.

Offline Mr. Bill

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Re: Coronavirus COVID-19 (a.k.a. 2019-nCoV) outbreak in China
« Reply #762 on: March 30, 2020, 03:59:47 PM »
Stanford University Medical Center, 3/30/20: COVID-19 patients often infected with other respiratory viruses, preliminary study reports

Quote
...The findings challenge the assumption that people are unlikely to have COVID-19 if they have another type of viral respiratory disease.

"Currently, if a patient tests positive for a different respiratory virus, we believe that they don't have COVID-19," said Nigam Shah, MBBS, Ph.D., associate professor of medicine and of biomedical data science at the medical school. "However, given the co-infection rates we've observed in this sample, that is an incorrect assumption." ...

Of the [517] people tested for both SARS-CoV-2 and other respiratory viruses, eleven people—or about 22% of the 49 confirmed COVID-19 cases and 8.7% of the 127 people with other respiratory viruses—were found to be co-infected with both kinds of viruses. ...

Offline Chemsoldier

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Re: Coronavirus COVID-19 (a.k.a. 2019-nCoV) outbreak in China
« Reply #763 on: March 30, 2020, 04:04:09 PM »
Stanford University Medical Center, 3/30/20: COVID-19 patients often infected with other respiratory viruses, preliminary study reports

That is bad.  We have been using finding other infections as a reason to not test for COVID to help ration tests.

Online iam4liberty

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Re: Coronavirus COVID-19 (a.k.a. 2019-nCoV) outbreak in China
« Reply #764 on: March 30, 2020, 04:06:31 PM »
Now they are down to 82K, which I think is the current worst-case best estimate Fauci had in mind this morning.  Watching video in article (which is one from this morning) It is amazing how they cut out all the parts where he contradicts what commentators say and how he compliments Trump for his understanding of the numbers and the situation.

https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2020/03/30/health/coronavirus-us-ihme-model-us/index.html
Model cited by White House says 82,000 people could die from coronavirus by August


Offline surfivor

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Re: Coronavirus COVID-19 (a.k.a. 2019-nCoV) outbreak in China
« Reply #765 on: March 30, 2020, 04:46:05 PM »
And we also dont know how this virus will be impacted by temperature and humidity.  If it acts as many other coronaviruses, stretching it out going into spring and summer could significantly lower the overall infection rate. 

On seperate topic, I just saw Dr. Fauci on and show and he is decidely much more optimistic than the media outlets which are distorting what he is saying (they dont even quote him directly anymore).  The commentator pressed him on the much tauted 100K death number (which was a middle projection of a worse case model he was quoting not his own prediction, in fact he specifically asked CNN not to hold him to thst number).  He is personally targetting a number much lower than that.   But it is interesting that in just two weeks the media pushed estimates of 150 million infected and 2 to 3 million dead have now fallen to 10 to 20 million infected and 100K to 200k dead.  That is an order of magnitude drop.  So in another month they will probably be closer to reality.

 That's what causes people to have doubts because the media always seems to have a vested interest in pushing a particular narrative and bad information. They always claim it was a mistake, but they do this kind of thing all the time

https://dailycaller.com/2020/03/30/cbs-news-footage-italian-hospital-report-new-york-coronavirus/

CBS News Airs Footage Of Italian Hospital While Reporting On New York’s Coronavirus Crisis

..


CBS News aired footage of an Italian hospital while reporting on New York hospitals and the ventilator shortage on March 25.


..

The network aired footage of a crowded hospital room with the implication, based on what was being reported, that it was taken at a hospital in New York. However, this hospital was seen in footage during a Sky News segment on Italian hospitals and the novel coronavirus crisis that aired on March 22.

Online iam4liberty

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Re: Coronavirus COVID-19 (a.k.a. 2019-nCoV) outbreak in China
« Reply #766 on: March 30, 2020, 04:52:00 PM »
This is a propper analysis.  Good job UK.

https://www.bbc.com/news/amp/health-52096049
Coronavirus: UK measures 'making a difference'

Sir Patrick Vallance told a news conference that social distancing measures are "making a difference".

Transmission of coronavirus in the community is thought to be decreasing, which could mean fewer infections.

Hospital admissions data suggests cases are not rising as fast as feared.
...
Sir Patrick said the NHS was seeing around an additional 1,000 patients a day and described this daily rise as "stable".

"That shows that it's going up not in an increasing amount but in a constant amount, which may suggest that we're already beginning to see some effect," he said.

After the daily number of deaths fell for the second day, he also cautioned against paying "too much attention" to day-to-day fluctuations in figures, explaining "we need to look over time and see what's happening".

Of the 1,000-a-day rise in hospital patients, he told reporters at the daily briefing: "I do expect that number to continue. I expect people coming every day to be about that, it may go up a little bit.

"And in two or three weeks you would expect that to stabilise and to start to go down a bit."

He said the figures suggested the UK was "not on a fast acceleration"

Offline FreeLancer

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Re: Coronavirus COVID-19 (a.k.a. 2019-nCoV) outbreak in China
« Reply #767 on: March 30, 2020, 05:15:37 PM »
https://www.bbc.com/news/amp/health-52096049

Quote
A blip or a glimmer of hope?

By Robert Cuffe, head of statistics, BBC News

There is a glimmer of hope in these figures: had deaths continued to grow at that recent daily rate of roughly a third a day, we might have expected to see 350 new deaths on Sunday and 450 today.

Instead, we've seen slight falls: 260 deaths on Saturday, 209 on Sunday and a further fall to 180 today.

But we shouldn't get carried away too soon: last week's Sunday-into-Monday figures also showed slight dips on the previous Saturday.

But by Tuesday, they resumed the upward march.

It's still too soon to know whether this is a real ray of hope, a blip caused by different working practices at the weekend or some mixture of the two.

Good job, BBC statistics dude, for keeping things real.

Online iam4liberty

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Re: Coronavirus COVID-19 (a.k.a. 2019-nCoV) outbreak in China
« Reply #768 on: March 30, 2020, 07:54:55 PM »
FNORD! 

Nothing to see in Spain, the UK, or Washington.  It goes against the doom and gloom storyline so the data must be discarded.  We must not under any circumstance look at areas where things are improving to takeaway valuable lessons learned.  It is apocalypse or bust!

On a separate note, Washington has taken steps to stop the up and down in day-to-day data caused by not getting things processed in time for the national 4PM report. Now they are reporting out just before midnight PT each day.  This will solve the reporting issues but it means the results will always be a calendar day behind the other states.  Here is the notice:  Please note that we have shifted our reporting process to make it more accurate, timely and complete. We are reporting confirmed cases, laboratory tests and deaths as of the previous day at 11:59 pm PT.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/amp/world-52092898
Coronavirus: Spain's coronavirus outbreak 'slowing'

The growth in coronavirus cases in hard-hit Spain appears to be slowing, the country's foreign minister has told the BBC.

Another 6,400 cases were confirmed on Monday, the lowest increase in new cases for a week. The total of deaths reached 7,340 after 812 new fatalities.

It comes as a national lockdown expanded to instruct non-essential workers to stay home for two weeks.
...
What's the latest in Spain?
Spain's latest national figures show that the virus' upwards curve appears to be flattening out, Foreign Minister Arancha González says.

Officials are hoping that the peak of the virus outbreak there is approaching, after which new cases and deaths are expected to decrease.
« Last Edit: March 30, 2020, 08:09:32 PM by iam4liberty »

Online iam4liberty

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Re: Coronavirus COVID-19 (a.k.a. 2019-nCoV) outbreak in China
« Reply #769 on: March 30, 2020, 08:09:03 PM »
FNORD!

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/30/health/coronavirus-restrictions-fevers.html

Restrictions Are Slowing Coronavirus Infections, New Data Suggest
A database of daily fever readings shows that the numbers declined as people disappeared indoors.


Harsh measures, including stay-at-home orders and restaurant closures, are contributing to rapid drops in the numbers of fevers — a signal symptom of most coronavirus infections — recorded in states across the country, according to intriguing new data produced by a medical technology firm.

At least 248 million Americans in at least 29 states have been told to stay at home. It had seemed nearly impossible for public health officials to know how effective this measure and others have been in slowing the coronavirus.

But the new data offer evidence, in real time, that tight social-distancing restrictions may be working, potentially reducing hospital overcrowding and lowering death rates, experts said.

The company, Kinsa Health, which produces internet-connected thermometers, first created a national map of fever levels on March 22 and was able to spot the trend within a day. Since then, data from the health departments of New York State and Washington State have buttressed the finding, making it clear that social distancing is saving lives.

Online iam4liberty

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Re: Coronavirus COVID-19 (a.k.a. 2019-nCoV) outbreak in China
« Reply #770 on: March 30, 2020, 09:23:32 PM »
FNORD!  I found close to same number in rolling trend with state level data.

https://www.usnews.com/news/best-states/washington/articles/2020-03-30/study-social-distancing-seems-to-be-helping-in-king-county
Study: Social Distancing Seems to Be Helping in King County
Public health officials and researchers say that social distancing appears to be helping slow the spread of COVID-19 in the Seattle area, where many of the first U.S. deaths occurred.


Public health officials and researchers said Monday social distancing appears to be helping slow the spread of COVID-19 in the Seattle area, where many of the first U.S. deaths occurred, but Washington Gov. Jay Inslee says that the public still needs to be prepared for the state's current two-week stay-at-home order to be extended.

Dr. Jeff Duchin, the public health officer for Seattle and King County, said a new analysis by the Bellevue-based Institute of Disease Modeling provides a powerful indication that the region needs to double-down on the policies it’s already adopted.

“What we’re doing now appears to be working,” Duchin said. “We need to continue this for weeks.”
...
In two papers released Monday, the Institute for Disease Modeling acknowledged that much remains unknown about rates of infection, but based on available data and a variety of assumptions, its computer models suggest that a measure of transmission — an estimate of how many people are infected by each person who is already infected — has fallen. In late February, each person with COVID was infecting about 2.7 other people; by March 18, that number had dropped to 1.4, the researchers found.

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Re: Coronavirus COVID-19 (a.k.a. 2019-nCoV) outbreak in China
« Reply #771 on: March 30, 2020, 09:51:16 PM »
FNORD!

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/europe/italy-coronavirus-cases/2020/03/26/0fffa6a2-6ec0-11ea-aa80-c2470c6b2034_story.html?outputType=amp
Italy’s new coronavirus cases are slowing. How soon will normal life return?

ROME — Italy's nationwide lockdown is showing the first small signs of payoff. The number of coronavirus cases is still rising, but at the lowest day-on-day pace since the outbreak began. The World Health Organization calls the slowdown encouraging. The health chief in the hardest-hit region says there's "light at the end of the tunnel."



Offline CandyGram4Mongo

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Re: Coronavirus COVID-19 (a.k.a. 2019-nCoV) outbreak in China
« Reply #773 on: March 31, 2020, 07:03:22 AM »
Hydroxychloriquine results are promising in a small sample (summary):
http://www.smalldeadanimals.com/index.php/2020/03/31/wuhan-flu-hydroxychloroquine/

Many, many interesting articles are pre-printed here:
https://connect.medrxiv.org/relate/content/181

Offline LvsChant

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Re: Coronavirus COVID-19 (a.k.a. 2019-nCoV) outbreak in China
« Reply #774 on: March 31, 2020, 07:32:31 AM »
Thanks, Candy!

Online iam4liberty

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Re: Coronavirus COVID-19 (a.k.a. 2019-nCoV) outbreak in China
« Reply #775 on: March 31, 2020, 08:19:18 AM »
They are right, that is a bend. FNORD.

https://www.politico.com/states/california/story/2020/03/30/bend-it-like-the-bay-area-doctors-see-flatter-curve-after-2-weeks-of-social-isolation-1269663
Bend it like the Bay Area: Doctors see flatter curve after 2 weeks of social isolation

SAN FRANCISCO — State leaders and doctors are cautiously optimistic that the Bay Area's early moves to lock down residents two weeks ago have prevented surges of coronavirus patients from overwhelming the region's health care capacity thus far.

Six Bay Area counties were first in the country to adopt aggressive tactics with an enforceable March 16 order requiring residents to stay at home.
...
After 14 days — the outermost period at which symptoms are believed to emerge post-infection — doctors at area hospitals are now reporting fewer cases than they expected to see at this point, and officials credit the lockdown with stemming the tide of patients they feared would flood into emergency rooms.
...
Health officials across the nation are eyeing the Bay Area as a bellwether to determine the effects of social distancing, since the region's policies were replicated in various states and cities in subsequent days.

The Bay Area's primary goal two weeks ago was to slow the growth of serious cases, buying public officials and hospitals enough time to increase the number of hospital beds, respirators and staff necessary to handle a coronavirus surge.

"We believe very strongly the stay-at-home order has helped advance our efforts in reducing the stress on the system that we believe would have already materialized in more acute ways had we not advanced those protocols when we did,"

Offline Gamer

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Re: Coronavirus COVID-19 (a.k.a. 2019-nCoV) outbreak in China
« Reply #776 on: March 31, 2020, 10:08:06 AM »
I'm not a medic so I'm just wondering whether the virus can live on (or in) items such as computer and electrical hardware that often has "Made in China" labels on it?

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Re: Coronavirus COVID-19 (a.k.a. 2019-nCoV) outbreak in China
« Reply #777 on: March 31, 2020, 10:13:33 AM »
I'm not a medic so I'm just wondering whether the virus can live on (or in) items such as computer and electrical hardware that often has "Made in China" labels on it?

There are some basic guidelines out there stating that the virus can live on plastic/metal surfaces for several days... to cardboard only about 24 hours.. with various materials in between. Are you asking about new things you purchase?

Offline Chemsoldier

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Re: Coronavirus COVID-19 (a.k.a. 2019-nCoV) outbreak in China
« Reply #778 on: March 31, 2020, 10:16:19 AM »
I'm not a medic so I'm just wondering whether the virus can live on (or in) items such as computer and electrical hardware that often has "Made in China" labels on it?
Sure it can, but the question is "can it live there long enough for something to get built and shipped to the US and then sold to you?"  Most likely, not remotely.

Online iam4liberty

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Re: Coronavirus COVID-19 (a.k.a. 2019-nCoV) outbreak in China
« Reply #779 on: March 31, 2020, 11:31:53 AM »
Could also give us some understanding of what autumn will look like in US. FNORD.

https://globalnews.ca/news/6754917/coronavirus-australia-infection-slow-down/amp/
Coronavirus: Australia reports sustained slowdown in COVID-19 infection rate

Health Minister Greg Hunt reported there were about 4,400 coronavirus cases nationally, with the rate of growth in new infections slowing from 25-30 per cent a week ago to an average of 9 per cent over the past three days.

Of those, 50 people were in intensive care and 20 were on ventilators, Hunt said. The death toll stood at 19.

Based on the completion of more than 230,000 tests, the death rate for Australian cases was below 1 per cent, significantly under the 10 per cent being reported by some other countries and suggesting “early promising signs of the curve flattening,” Hunt said.

“By having what we believe is the broadest and widest testing program in the world … at this stage our numbers indicate that we are at the global forefront, we have a good picture of where we’re at,” Hunt said in a televised media conference.